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Only six slots will be available for the seven applicants, Macau´s government has said, as Genting Malaysia goes head-to-head with the six concessionaires Sands China, Wynn Macau, Galaxy Entertainment, MGM China , Melco Resorts and SJM Holdings as their concessions expire at year-end.

If an incumbent loses their license, they must return the casino area to the government for free at the end of this year, making it financially unviable to operate the remaining facilities as gambling accounts for 80-90% of total revenue.
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"Macau has been told over and over again to focus less on Chinese VIPs and more on non-gaming but they pretty much paid lip service to that idea. So now... they have to really make a hard divert to that philosophy," Yin said.

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"They have a strong chance to topple one of the incumbents...and Genting would have been encouraged to come in. With their background it makes a lot of sense," said Ben Lee, founder of Macau gaming consultancy IGamiX.

HONG KONG, Sept 30 (Reuters) - Malaysian group Genting has emerged as a strong contender to unseat an incumbent Macau casino operator for a new license, analysts and executives say, unleashing possibly the biggest shakeup in the world´s largest gambling hub in over two decades.

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Genting´s strong non-gaming track record, including operating two of the largest theme parks in southeast Asia, would be a big draw for Beijing which has been urging Macau to diversify away from gambling and attract foreign tourists.

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A shortened license period of 10 years from 20 years is also not a problem, Song said, as the government would re-allocate facilities and resources to Genting if it won a license, so they "don´t actually need to build everything from the ground." ($1 = 7.8498 Hong Kong dollars) (Reporting by Farah Master Editing by Shri Navaratnam)

If one of the incumbents lost their license it's likely to send tremors throughout Macau´s gambling industry as the companies have collectively invested more than $50 billion in the past two decades, are tied closely to the economic fortunes of the former Portuguese colony and employ tens of thousands of people.

The Malaysian group's multiple non-gaming investments in China, including a prominent ski resort that was used for Pkv Poker the Beijing 2022 Winter Olympics, are also likely to bolster its chances, analysts said.

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Genting "can offer the Macau government whatever they expressly said they wanted," versus the incumbents who have predominantly focused on Chinese VIPs, said Samuel Yin Shao Yang, an analyst at Maybank.

It would cause "far too much disruption" if any of the six operators were replaced, said Terry Ng, an analyst at Daiwa in Hong Kong, although other industry watchers note the incumbents have left themselves vulnerable to an operator like Genting which lost out on a Macau licence in 2002.